Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 5

Sep 3, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 3
Freiburg

Demirbay (16'), Schick (65')
Tah (5'), Amiri (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ginter (48'), Gregoritsch (51'), Doan (72')
Hofler (34'), Gregoritsch (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

Last Six:

Last Game: Mainz 05 0-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Stuttgart	4	-1	3
13	Bayer Leverkusen	4	-2	3
14	Augsburg	4	-5	3

Freiburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Freiburg 1-0 VfL Bochum
Friday, August 26 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Union Berlin	4	8	10
4	Freiburg	4	4	9
5	Hoffenheim	5	2	9

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Freiburg
56.81% ( 3.42)	22.53% ( -0.92)	20.66% ( -2.5)

Both teams to score 54.27% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.16% (

1.06)

44.84% (

-1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.8% (

1.02)

67.2% (

-1.02)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.43% (

1.57)

15.57% (

-1.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.48% (

2.85)

44.52% (

-2.85)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.28% (

-1.77)

35.72% (

1.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.51% (

-1.86)

72.49% (

1.86)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 56.8%

Freiburg 20.66%

Draw 22.52%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Freiburg
1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.57) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.39) 3-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.64) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.32) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.43) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.17) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.49% Total : 56.8%	1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.44) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.52%	0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.51) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.45) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.21) Other @ 1.87% Total : 20.66%