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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Mainz 05 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
5 | Freiburg | 3 | 3 | 6 |
6 | Hoffenheim | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Hertha Berlin | 3 | -3 | 1 |
17 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | -5 | 0 |
18 | VfL Bochum | 3 | -9 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
48.94% ( 0.18) | 22.83% ( -0.05) | 28.22% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 62% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.39% ( 0.12) | 38.6% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.09% ( 0.13) | 60.9% ( -0.13) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.94% ( 0.11) | 16.06% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.57% ( 0.2) | 45.42% ( -0.2) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.86% ( -0.03) | 26.14% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.78% ( -0.04) | 61.21% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.64% Total : 48.94% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 28.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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