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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
VfL Bochum

Freiburg
1 - 0
VfL Bochum

Grifo (48')
Sallai (77'), Hofler (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Stafylidis (42'), Riemann (48'), Reis (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Freiburg 2-0 VfL Bochum

While Bochum will be hungry to bite back after their thumping at the hands of Bayern last week, we expect Freiburg to be too strong for their opponents. Streich have the momentum and quality to challenge for the European places once again this season, whereas it would be a surprise if Bochum are not embroiled in a relegation battle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawVfL Bochum
48.94% (0.18 0.18) 22.83% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 28.22% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 62% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.39% (0.121 0.12)38.6% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.09% (0.127 0.13)60.9% (-0.13 -0.13)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.94% (0.10900000000001 0.11)16.06% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.57% (0.202 0.2)45.42% (-0.204 -0.2)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)26.14% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)61.21% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 48.94%
    VfL Bochum 28.22%
    Draw 22.83%
FreiburgDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.02% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.74% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.85% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 48.94%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.2% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.83%
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.63% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.78% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 28.22%

How you voted: Freiburg vs VfL Bochum

Freiburg
84.1%
Draw
9.5%
VfL Bochum
6.3%
126
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
3-0
VfL Bochum
Kubler (5'), Sallai (16', 53')

Stafylidis (68'), Reis (70')
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
VfL Bochum
1-2
Freiburg
Polter (64')
Polter (117')
Petersen (51'), Sallai (120')
Kubler (117')
Nov 27, 2021 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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