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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
VfL Bochum

Freiburg
1 - 0
VfL Bochum

Grifo (48')
Sallai (77'), Hofler (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Stafylidis (42'), Riemann (48'), Reis (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Freiburg 2-0 VfL Bochum

While Bochum will be hungry to bite back after their thumping at the hands of Bayern last week, we expect Freiburg to be too strong for their opponents. Streich have the momentum and quality to challenge for the European places once again this season, whereas it would be a surprise if Bochum are not embroiled in a relegation battle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawVfL Bochum
48.94% (0.18 0.18) 22.83% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 28.22% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 62% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.39% (0.121 0.12)38.6% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.09% (0.127 0.13)60.9% (-0.13 -0.13)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.94% (0.10900000000001 0.11)16.06% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.57% (0.202 0.2)45.42% (-0.204 -0.2)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)26.14% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)61.21% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 48.94%
    VfL Bochum 28.22%
    Draw 22.83%
FreiburgDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.02% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.74% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.85% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 48.94%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.2% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.83%
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.63% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.78% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 28.22%

How you voted: Freiburg vs VfL Bochum

Freiburg
84.1%
Draw
9.5%
VfL Bochum
6.3%
126
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
3-0
VfL Bochum
Kubler (5'), Sallai (16', 53')

Stafylidis (68'), Reis (70')
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
VfL Bochum
1-2
Freiburg
Polter (64')
Polter (117')
Petersen (51'), Sallai (120')
Kubler (117')
Nov 27, 2021 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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