Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Aug 26, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
1 - 0
VfL Bochum

Grifo (48')
Sallai (77'), Hofler (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stafylidis (42'), Riemann (48'), Reis (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Stuttgart 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Mainz 05	3	2	7
5	Freiburg	3	3	6
6	Hoffenheim	3	2	6

VfL Bochum

Last Six:

Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-7 Bayern
Sunday, August 21 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Hertha Berlin	3	-3	1
17	Bayer Leverkusen	3	-5	0
18	VfL Bochum	3	-9	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	VfL Bochum
48.94% ( 0.18)	22.83% ( -0.05)	28.22% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 62% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.39% (

0.12)

38.6% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.09% (

0.13)

60.9% (

-0.13)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.94% (

0.11)

16.06% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.57% (

0.2)

45.42% (

-0.2)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.86% (

-0.03)

26.14% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.78% (

-0.04)

61.21% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 48.94%

VfL Bochum 28.22%

Draw 22.83%

Freiburg	Draw	VfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.64% Total : 48.94%	1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.83%	1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 28.22%