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Bundesliga
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
 
Freiburg logo

Stuttgart
0 - 1
Freiburg


Sosa (15'), Fuhrich (28'), Ahamada (46'), Mavropanos (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Grifo (11')
Sallai (28'), Keitel (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

Last Six:
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Freiburg

Last Six:
Last Game: Freiburg 1-3 Dortmund
Friday, August 12 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 1-2 Freiburg

 We expect a fascinating tactical battle in Stuttgart on Saturday, with both teams capable of counter-attacking in the blink of an eye. Freiburg are a more consistent collective unit, though, and we expect them to bounce back from their unfortunate defeat to Dortmund with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
StuttgartDrawFreiburg
32.48% (-0.251 -0.25) 25.19% (0.004999999999999 0) 42.32% (0.244 0.24)
Both teams to score 56.19% (-0.114 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.7% (-0.108 -0.11)47.3% (0.106 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.47% (-0.101 -0.1)69.52% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (-0.21499999999999 -0.21)27.69% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75% (-0.272 -0.27)63.24% (0.271 0.27)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (0.070999999999998 0.07)22.29% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25% (0.105 0.11)55.75% (-0.107 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 32.48%
    Freiburg 42.32%
    Draw 25.18%
StuttgartDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.09% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.18% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 32.48%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.17% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 9.26% (0.061 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.95% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.48% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 42.32%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Freiburg

Stuttgart
29.4%
Draw
23.5%
Freiburg
47.1%
34
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-0
Stuttgart
Ito (37' og.), Schade (72')
Hofler (24')

Sosa (90+4')
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Stuttgart
2-3
Freiburg
Mavropanos (45'), Al Ghaddioui (45+2')
Forster (13'), Klimowicz (55')
Woo-yeong (3', 9'), Holer (28')
Schade (89')
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
Stuttgart
Demirovic (14'), Woo-yeong (37')
Keitel (66'), Schmid (74')
Wamangituka (7')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Stuttgart
1-0
Freiburg
Kalajdzic (15')
Stenzel (44'), Klimowicz (55')

Grifo (44')
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
Stuttgart
2-3
Freiburg
Kalajdzic (71'), Wamangituka (81')
Didavi (25'), Wamangituka (44')
Petersen (8'), Sallai (26'), Grifo (48')
Holer (35'), Kubler (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242
> Bundesliga Full Table


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