MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 23:40:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Dortmund logo

Freiburg
1 - 3
Dortmund

Gregoritsch (35')
Kyereh (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bynoe-Gittens (77'), Moukoko (84'), Wolf (88')
Meunier (33'), Bellingham (60'), Schlotterbeck (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Borussia Dortmund

With three new signings scoring on debut in Freiburg's 4-0 away win last weekend, we think that they can spring an upset against Dortmund. Streich's side are one of the more upwardly mobile teams in the Bundesliga, while the visitors have a few teething issues and were not particularly impressive despite beating Leverkusen last weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 16.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 1-3 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Freiburg win it was 2-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
16.07% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 18.19% (0.0030000000000001 0) 65.74% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 60.87% (0.189 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.91% (0.15400000000001 0.15)32.09% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.33% (0.18 0.18)53.66% (-0.179 -0.18)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (0.19 0.19)32.99% (-0.189 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (0.21 0.21)69.58% (-0.209 -0.21)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.85% (0.025000000000006 0.03)9.15% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.96% (0.055999999999997 0.06)31.04% (-0.055 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 16.07%
    Borussia Dortmund 65.74%
    Draw 18.19%
FreiburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 4.44% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.86% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.64% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 16.07%
1-1 @ 8.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.02% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 18.19%
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.63% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 7.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 7.22% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 6.88% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 4.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 4.23% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 4.11% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.53% (0.016 0.02)
1-5 @ 2.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 1.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.21% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-4 @ 0.94% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 65.74%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Dortmund

Freiburg
34.7%
Draw
15.5%
Borussia Dortmund
49.8%
265
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2022 7.30pm
Dortmund
5-1
Freiburg
Meunier (14', 29'), Braut Haaland (45+1', 75'), Dahoud (86')
Brandt (76'), Braut Haaland (88')
Demirovic (61')
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
Dortmund
Grifo (6'), Sallai (53')
Demirovic (86')
Keitel (59' og.)
Malen (19'), Dahoud (34'), Akanji (61'), Guerreiro (76')
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
Dortmund
Woo-yeong (49'), Schmid (52')
Haberer (90+4')
Moukoko (76')
Bellingham (78'), Akanji (90+2')
Oct 3, 2020 2.30pm
Dortmund
4-0
Freiburg
Braut Haaland (31', 66'), Can (47'), Passlack (90+2')
Hummels (55')

Chang-Hoon (57')
Feb 29, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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