Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 2

Aug 12, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
1 - 3
Dortmund

Gregoritsch (35')
Kyereh (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bynoe-Gittens (77'), Moukoko (84'), Wolf (88')
Meunier (33'), Bellingham (60'), Schlotterbeck (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Augsburg 0-4 Freiburg
Saturday, August 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bayern Munich	1	5	3
2	Freiburg	1	4	3
3	Borussia Monchengladbach	1	2	3

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:

Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, August 6 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Mainz 05	1	1	3
7	Borussia Dortmund	1	1	3
8	Werder Bremen	1	0	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 16.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 1-3 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Freiburg win it was 2-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
16.07% ( 0.08)	18.19% ( 0)	65.74% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 60.87% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.91% (

0.15)

32.09% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.33% (

0.18)

53.66% (

-0.18)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67% (

0.19)

32.99% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.42% (

0.21)

69.58% (

-0.21)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.85% (

0.03)

9.15% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.96% (

0.06)

31.04% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 16.07%

Borussia Dortmund 65.74%

Draw 18.19%

Freiburg	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.86% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 16.07%	1-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.19%	1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 7.63% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 6.88% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 4.56% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 2.18% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.08% Total : 65.74%