La Liga Gameweek 5
Atletico
Sep 10, 2022 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Celta Vigo
  • Angel Correa 9' goal
  • Rodrigo De Paul 50' goal
  • Yannick Carrasco 66' goal
  • Unai Nunez 82' goal
  • goal Gabriel Veiga 71'

Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
Real Sociedad 1 - 1 Atletico
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Antoine Griezmann

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2022 8.00pm
Celta Vigo 3 - 0 Cadiz
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Iago Aspas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result

Atletico Madrid 54.57% ▼ (-0.54)
Draw 25.21% ▼ (-0.25)
Celta Vigo 20.23% ▲ (+0.79)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.64% ▲ (+1.76)

Goals

Over 2.5 44% ▲ (+1.73)
Under 2.5 56% ▼ (-1.73)
Over 3.5 22.91% ▲ (+1.39)
Under 3.5 77.09% ▼ (-1.39)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 79.47% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 0.5 20.53% ▼ (-0.48)
Over 1.5 46.97% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 1.5 53.03% ▼ (-0.75)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 57.43% ▲ (+1.89)
Under 0.5 42.57% ▼ (-1.89)
Over 1.5 21.07% ▲ (+1.57)
Under 1.5 78.93% ▼ (-1.57)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 54.55%
Draw 25.2%
Celta Vigo 20.23%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 13.83% ▼ (-0.75)
2-0 @ 10.95% ▼ (-0.42)
2-1 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.14)
3-0 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.15)
4-0 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 54.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.60)
2-2 @ 4% ▲ (+0.26)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.2%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 7.46% ▼ (-0.11)
1-2 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.26)
0-2 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 20.23%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 26
Atletico
Feb 26, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Celta Vigo
  • Stefan Savic 12' yellowcard
  • Jose Gimenez 15' yellowcard
  • Jan Oblak 20' yellowcard
  • Renan Lodi 36' goal
  • Reinildo Mandava 50' yellowcard
  • Renan Lodi 60' goal
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 17'
  • yellowcard Nestor Araujo 71'
  • yellowcard Thiago Galhardo 84'
La Liga Gameweek 1
Celta Vigo
Aug 15, 2021 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Atletico
  • Iago Aspas 59' goal
  • Denis Suarez 77' yellowcard
  • Augusto Solari 86' yellowcard
  • Jose Fontan 90' yellowcard
  • Iago Aspas 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Hugo Mallo 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Thomas Lemar 11'
  • goal Angel Correa 23'
  • yellowcard Marcos Llorente 57'
  • yellowcard Geoffrey Kondogbia 61'
  • goal Angel Correa 64'
  • yellowcard Yannick Carrasco 90'+2'
  • redcard Mario Hermoso 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 90'+8'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Atletico
Feb 8, 2021 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Celta Vigo
  • Felipe 23' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 45' goal
  • Luis Suarez 50' goal
  • Jose Gimenez 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Renato Tapia 5'
  • goal Santi Mina 13'
  • yellowcard Denis Suarez 78'
  • goal Facundo Ferreyra 89'
La Liga Gameweek 6
Celta Vigo
Oct 17, 2020 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Atletico
  • Fran Beltran 41' yellowcard
  • Nolito 63' yellowcard
  • Iago Aspas 83' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Suarez 6'
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 17'
  • yellowcard Diego Costa 37'
  • yellowcard Felipe 71'
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 86'
  • goal Yannick Carrasco 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 35
Celta Vigo
Jul 7, 2020 9.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Municipal de Balaidos
Atletico
  • Brais Mendez 22' yellowcard
  • Nolito 41' yellowcard
  • Jorge Saenz 47' yellowcard
  • Fran Beltran 49' goal
  • Jeison Murillo 51' yellowcard
  • goal Alvaro Morata 1'
  • yellowcard Renan Lodi 23'
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 79'
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 5
Atletico
Sep 21, 2019 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano (Madrid)
Celta Vigo
  • Koke 75' yellowcard
  • Saul Niguez 81' yellowcard
  • Diego Costa 96' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joseph Aidoo 45'
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 63'
  • yellowcard Ruben Blanco 77'
  • yellowcard Pape Cheikh Diop 91'
  • yellowcard Lucas Olaza 96'

Form Data

Atletico 2 - 1 Porto
Real Sociedad 1 - 1 Atletico
Valencia 0 - 1 Atletico
Atletico 0 - 2 Villarreal
Getafe 0 - 3 Atletico
Juventus 0 - 4 Atletico
Celta Vigo 3 - 0 Cadiz
Girona 0 - 1 Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo 1 - 4 Real Madrid
Celta Vigo 2 - 2 Espanyol
Valencia 2 - 0 Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo 1 - 0 Elche