La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 10, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio Wanda Metropolitano

Atletico
4 - 1
Celta Vigo

Correa (9'), De Paul (50'), Carrasco (66'), Nunez (82' og.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Veiga (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Porto
Wednesday, September 7 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Athletic Bilbao	4	4	7
7	Atletico Madrid	4	2	7
8	Celta Vigo	4	1	7

Celta Vigo

Last Six:

Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-0 Cadiz
Friday, September 2 at 8pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Atletico Madrid	4	2	7
8	Celta Vigo	4	1	7
9	Girona	5	1	7

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Celta Vigo
54.57% ( -0.53)	25.21% ( -0.25)	20.23% ( 0.78)

Both teams to score 45.64% (

1.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44% (

1.73)

56% (

-1.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.91% (

1.38)

77.09% (

-1.38)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.47% (

0.47)

20.53% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.97% (

0.75)

53.03% (

-0.75)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.43% (

1.88)

42.57% (

-1.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.07% (

1.56)

78.93% (

-1.57)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 54.55%

Celta Vigo 20.23%

Draw 25.2%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 13.83% ( -0.74) 2-0 @ 10.95% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.35% Total : 54.55%	1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.6) 2-2 @ 4% ( 0.26) Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.05% Total : 20.23%