| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Celta Vigo | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Girona | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Getafe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| 19 | Real Valladolid | 3 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 | Cadiz | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Cadiz |
| 47.92% ( | 25.97% | 26.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.3% ( | 53.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.81% ( | 75.18% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% ( | 22.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.06% ( | 55.93% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.34% | 35.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.57% ( | 72.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Cadiz |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 3-0 @ 4.46% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.02% Total : 47.92% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.99% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0-2 @ 4.25% ( 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.98% Total : 26.11% |