| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Villarreal | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Osasuna | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Almeria | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Cadiz | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Girona | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Cadiz |
| 42.99% ( | 27.73% ( | 29.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.45% ( | 58.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.88% ( | 79.12% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.02% ( | 26.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.68% ( | 62.32% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.28% ( | 35.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.51% ( | 72.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Cadiz |
| 1-0 @ 12.62% ( 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 4-0 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 1.94% Total : 42.99% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0-0 @ 9.63% ( 2-2 @ 4.38% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.72% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 2-3 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.01% Total : 29.28% |