La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 12, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
2 - 1
Sevilla

Avila (9'), Oroz (74' pen.)
Garcia (34'), Garcia (50'), Avila (68'), Herrera (90+2'), Gomez (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mir (11')
Papu (72'), Rakitic (82'), Fernando (83'), Lopetegui (87'), Romero (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

Last Six:

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-2 Osasuna
Sunday, July 31 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Mallorca	0	0	0
12	Osasuna	0	0	0
13	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0

Sevilla

Last Six:

Last Game: Leicester 1-0 Sevilla
Sunday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Real Valladolid	0	0	0
18	Sevilla	0	0	0
19	Valencia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 44.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Sevilla
44.74% ( 0.25)	28.2% ( 0.02)	27.06% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 44.41% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.87% (

-0.2)

61.12% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.91% (

-0.15)

81.09% (

0.14)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.73% (

0.04)

27.27% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.3% (

0.05)

62.7% (

-0.05)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.06% (

-0.34)

38.93% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.34% (

-0.32)

75.66% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 44.73%

Sevilla 27.05%

Draw 28.2%

Osasuna	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 13.79% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 44.73%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.2%	0-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.51% Total : 27.05%