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La Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Sevilla logo

Osasuna
2 - 1
Sevilla

Avila (9'), Oroz (74' pen.)
Garcia (34'), Garcia (50'), Avila (68'), Herrera (90+2'), Gomez (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mir (11')
Papu (72'), Rakitic (82'), Fernando (83'), Lopetegui (87'), Romero (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-2 Osasuna
Sunday, July 31 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Leicester 1-0 Sevilla
Sunday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Osasuna 1-1 Sevilla

On paper, Sevilla will be the favourites, but Osasuna are a team to be taken extremely seriously at this level of football, and we are finding it difficult to separate the two sides here. Opening-night matches are often cagey affairs, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw at Estadio El Sadar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 44.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawSevilla
44.74% (0.249 0.25) 28.2% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 27.06% (-0.273 -0.27)
Both teams to score 44.41% (-0.221 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.87% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)61.12% (0.193 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.91% (-0.145 -0.15)81.09% (0.142 0.14)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.73% (0.039000000000001 0.04)27.27% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.3% (0.049999999999997 0.05)62.7% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.06% (-0.341 -0.34)38.93% (0.337 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.34% (-0.321 -0.32)75.66% (0.318 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 44.73%
    Sevilla 27.05%
    Draw 28.2%
OsasunaDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 13.79% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.96% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 3.88% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 44.73%
1-1 @ 13.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.61% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 10.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.72% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 27.05%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Sevilla

Osasuna
12.9%
Draw
16.1%
Sevilla
71.0%
255
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 8pm
Oct 30, 2021 3.15pm
Sevilla
2-0
Osasuna
Carlos (40'), Ocampos (60')
Jordan (61'), Bono (89')

Areso (54'), Budimir (70')
Feb 22, 2021 8pm
Osasuna
0-2
Sevilla

Vidal (76'), Torro (88')
Carlos (19'), De Jong (49')
El Haddadi (67'), Jordan (83')
Nov 7, 2020 5.30pm
Sevilla
1-0
Osasuna
Ocampos (59' pen.)
Rakitic (77'), Fernando (87')

Garcia (38'), Sanjurjo (80'), Garcia (90+1')
Mar 1, 2020 11am
Sevilla
3-2
Osasuna
En-Nesyri (13', 90'), Ocampos (45')
Fernando (15'), Torres (84')
Hernandez (64'), Torres (74' pen.)
Gallego (76'), Brasanac (85')
Herrera (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid31246167204778
2Barcelona31217362342870
3GironaGirona31205663392465
4Atletico MadridAtletico31194859362361
5Athletic Bilbao321610652302258
6Real Sociedad311311745331250
7Valencia31138103432247
8Real BetisBetis31111283837145
9Villarreal31109124954-539
10Getafe31912103743-639
11Osasuna31116143644-839
12Las PalmasLas Palmas31107142935-637
13Sevilla31810133944-534
14AlavesAlaves3188152638-1232
15Mallorca31613122536-1131
16Rayo Vallecano31613122538-1331
17Celta Vigo31610153346-1328
18CadizCadiz31413142141-2025
19Granada3239203361-2818
20Almeria31111193062-3214


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