Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 14, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid
2 - 0
RB Leipzig

Valverde (80'), Asensio (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Reaction

Real Madrid's Federico Valverde celebrates scoring against RB Leipzig on September 14, 2022

Real Madrid overcome RB Leipzig to extend 100% record

Federico Valverde and Marco Asensio score the goals as Real Madrid record a 2-0 victory over RB Leipzig in the Champions League.

Sep 14, 21:05

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Madrid 4-1 Mallorca
Sunday, September 11 at 1pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Real Madrid	5	10	15
2	Barcelona	5	14	13
3	Real Betis	5	5	12

RB Leipzig

Last Six:

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-0 Dortmund
Saturday, September 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Werder Bremen	6	1	8
10	RB Leipzig	6	0	8
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	6	-1	8

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 16.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	RB Leipzig
60.46% ( -0.18)	22.56% ( 0.04)	16.98% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 47.76% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.74% (

0.05)

50.26% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.79% (

0.04)

72.21% (

-0.04)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.79% (

-0.04)

16.21% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.3% (

-0.08)

45.7% (

0.08)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57% (

0.2)

43% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.71% (

0.17)

79.29% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 60.45%

RB Leipzig 16.98%

Draw 22.55%

Real Madrid	Draw	RB Leipzig
1-0 @ 12.68% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 60.45%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.77% Total : 22.55%	0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 16.98%