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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Dortmund logo

RB Leipzig
3 - 0
Dortmund

Orban (6'), Szoboszlai (45'), Haidara (84')
Laimer (75'), Raum (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Meunier (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-4 Shakhtar
Tuesday, September 6 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: RB Leipzig 2-2 Borussia Dortmund

Dortmund's injuries could make this match closer than expected, especially with Leipzig's players likely to be keen to impress their new manager. We can envisage goals and a potential share of the spoils, with there likely to be an extra edge in the match given Terzic's and Rose's history together at Dortmund. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.4%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
29.46% (0.0020000000000024 0) 23.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 47.4% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.82% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.76% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)39.23% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.43% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)61.56% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)25.64% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.46% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)60.54% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.13% (-0.012 -0.01)16.86% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.12% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)46.88% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 29.46%
    Borussia Dortmund 47.4%
    Draw 23.13%
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 5.88% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 29.46%
1-1 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 6.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 9.32%
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 5.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 2.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 47.4%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Dortmund

RB Leipzig
21.1%
Draw
23.9%
Borussia Dortmund
54.9%
142
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 5.30pm
Dortmund
1-4
RB Leipzig
Malen (84')
Hazard (45'), Can (80'), Malen (88')
Laimer (21', 30'), Nkunku (58'), Olmo (86')
Kampl (54')
Nov 6, 2021 5.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-1
Dortmund
Nkunku (29'), Poulsen (68')
Adams (40'), Poulsen (65'), Szoboszlai (88')
Reus (52')
Bellingham (31'), Reus (31'), Witsel (38'), Meunier (55'), Moukoko (89')
May 13, 2021 7.45pm
RB Leipzig
1-4
Dortmund
Olmo (71')
Upamecano (45'), Olmo (81')
Sancho (5', 45'), Braut Haaland (28', 87')
Can (15'), Bellingham (25'), Dahoud (50'), Sancho (81'), Hummels (90')
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
3-2
RB Leipzig
Reus (7'), Sancho (51', 87')
Hummels (74')
Klostermann (63'), Olmo (77')
Haidara (90+1')
Jan 9, 2021 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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