Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 6

Sep 10, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
3 - 0
Dortmund

Orban (6'), Szoboszlai (45'), Haidara (84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

Last Six:

Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-4 Shakhtar
Tuesday, September 6 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Augsburg	6	-6	6
12	RB Leipzig	5	-3	5
13	Stuttgart	5	-1	4

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:

Last Game: Dortmund 3-0 Copenhagen
Tuesday, September 6 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Freiburg	5	5	12
2	Borussia Dortmund	5	4	12
3	Bayern Munich	5	14	11

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.4%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
29.46% ( 0)	23.14% ( 0.01)	47.4% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 61.82% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.76% (

-0.02)

39.23% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.43% (

-0.02)

61.56% (

0.03)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35% (

-0.01)

25.64% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.46% (

-0.01)

60.54% (

0.01)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.13% (

-0.01)

16.86% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.12% (

-0.02)

46.88% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 29.46%

Borussia Dortmund 47.4%

Draw 23.13%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 29.46%	1-1 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.13%	1-2 @ 9.32% 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.85% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.46% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 4.22% Total : 47.4%