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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Dortmund logo

RB Leipzig
3 - 0
Dortmund

Orban (6'), Szoboszlai (45'), Haidara (84')
Laimer (75'), Raum (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Meunier (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-4 Shakhtar
Tuesday, September 6 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: RB Leipzig 2-2 Borussia Dortmund

Dortmund's injuries could make this match closer than expected, especially with Leipzig's players likely to be keen to impress their new manager. We can envisage goals and a potential share of the spoils, with there likely to be an extra edge in the match given Terzic's and Rose's history together at Dortmund. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.4%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
29.46% (0.0020000000000024 0) 23.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 47.4% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.82% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.76% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)39.23% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.43% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)61.56% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)25.64% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.46% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)60.54% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.13% (-0.012 -0.01)16.86% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.12% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)46.88% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 29.46%
    Borussia Dortmund 47.4%
    Draw 23.13%
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 5.88% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 29.46%
1-1 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 6.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 9.32%
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 5.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 2.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 47.4%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Dortmund

RB Leipzig
21.1%
Draw
23.9%
Borussia Dortmund
54.9%
142
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 5.30pm
Dortmund
1-4
RB Leipzig
Malen (84')
Hazard (45'), Can (80'), Malen (88')
Laimer (21', 30'), Nkunku (58'), Olmo (86')
Kampl (54')
Nov 6, 2021 5.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-1
Dortmund
Nkunku (29'), Poulsen (68')
Adams (40'), Poulsen (65'), Szoboszlai (88')
Reus (52')
Bellingham (31'), Reus (31'), Witsel (38'), Meunier (55'), Moukoko (89')
May 13, 2021 7.45pm
RB Leipzig
1-4
Dortmund
Olmo (71')
Upamecano (45'), Olmo (81')
Sancho (5', 45'), Braut Haaland (28', 87')
Can (15'), Bellingham (25'), Dahoud (50'), Sancho (81'), Hummels (90')
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
3-2
RB Leipzig
Reus (7'), Sancho (51', 87')
Hummels (74')
Klostermann (63'), Olmo (77')
Haidara (90+1')
Jan 9, 2021 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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