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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Hoffenheim logo

Dortmund
1 - 0
Hoffenheim

Reus (16')
Reus (57'), Bellingham (57'), Hummels (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Skov (35'), Vogt (57'), Kabak (64'), Kramaric (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Borussia Dortmund 1-0 Hoffenheim

Five of the last six domestic contests between these sides at Westfalenstadion have been decided by a goal or fewer, and we anticipate a close game between two teams who have usually been able to be pretty tidy at the back. Dortmund will have a slight edge because of their resilience after losing a home fixture, plus their overall experience and quality seems to be just a little greater than their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.49%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 1-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
58.49% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 20.58% (0.0019999999999989 0) 20.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.57% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.58% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)35.42% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.54% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)57.46% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.05% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)11.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)37.34% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.93% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)30.07% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.8% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)66.2% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 58.49%
    Hoffenheim 20.93%
    Draw 20.58%
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.63% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.74% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.56%
5-0 @ 1.3%
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 58.49%
1-1 @ 9.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.59% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.58%
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 20.93%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Hoffenheim

Borussia Dortmund
70.8%
Draw
18.5%
Hoffenheim
10.7%
178
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
2-3
Dortmund
Kramaric (45+1'), Rutter (77')
Rudy (66'), Dabour (90+3')
Braut Haaland (6'), Reus (58'), Raum (66' og.)
Hummels (49'), Bellingham (90+5')
Aug 27, 2021 7.30pm
Dortmund
3-2
Hoffenheim
Reyna (49'), Bellingham (69'), Braut Haaland (90+1')
Dahoud (36'), Meunier (54')
Baumgartner (61'), Dabour (90')
Baumgartner (1'), Posch (7'), Geiger (20')
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-2
Hoffenheim
Sancho (24'), Braut Haaland (81')
Delaney (21'), Akanji (67')
Dabour (31'), Bebou (51')
Rudy (27'), Grillitsch (57'), Vogt (59'), Posch (60'), Samassekou (65'), Dabour (85'), Gacinovic (90+2')
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Wolfsburg146353125621
7Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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