Bundesliga
Gameweek
3
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flogdor.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwerlog.png)
-
Anthony Modeste
39'
-
Emre Can
42'
-
Julian Brandt
45'+2'
-
Raphael Guerreiro
77'
-
Marius Wolf
83'
-
Marco Reus
90'+1'
-
Niclas Fullkrug
29'
-
Lee Buchanan
89'
-
Niklas Schmidt
90'+3'
-
Oliver Burke
90'+5'
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F31%2Fjude-bellingham.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result
Borussia Dortmund
52.06%
▲
(+0.70)
Draw
20.94%
▼
(-0.55)
Werder Bremen
27%
▼
(-0.16)
Both Teams to Score:
68.02%
▲
(+1.93)
Goals
Over 2.5
69.72%
▲
(+2.56)
Under 2.5
30.28%
▼
(-2.56)
Over 3.5
48.47%
▲
(+3.01)
Under 3.5
51.53%
▼
(-3.02)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
87.91%
▲
(+1.09)
Under 0.5
12.08%
▼
(-1.09)
Over 1.5
62.38%
▲
(+2.26)
Under 1.5
37.61%
▼
(-2.27)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5
77.37%
▲
(+1.25)
Under 0.5
22.62%
▼
(-1.25)
Over 1.5
43.75%
▲
(+1.82)
Under 1.5
56.24%
▼
(-1.83)
Score analysis
Borussia Dortmund
52.06%
Draw
20.94%
Werder Bremen
27%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1
@
9.07%
▼
(-0.19)
3-1 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.14)
2-0 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.36)
1-0 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.60)
3-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.28)
3-0 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.21)
4-2 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.24)
4-0 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.15)
4-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.16)
5-2 @ 1.06% ▼ (-90.94)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 52.06%
3-1 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.14)
2-0 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.36)
1-0 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.60)
3-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.28)
3-0 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.21)
4-2 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.24)
4-0 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.15)
4-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.16)
5-2 @ 1.06% ▼ (-90.94)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 52.06%
Draw
1-1
@
8.59%
▼
(-0.55)
2-2 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.12)
0-0 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.42)
3-3 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.22)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.94%
2-2 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.12)
0-0 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.42)
3-3 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.22)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.94%
Werder Bremen
1-2
@
6.38%
▼
(-0.17)
0-1 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.45)
2-3 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.21)
0-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.11)
1-4 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.45)
2-3 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.21)
0-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.11)
1-4 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 27%
Head to Head
Bundesliga
Gameweek
29
-
Giovanni Reyna
29'
-
Erling Braut Haaland
34'
-
Erling Braut Haaland
38'
-
Mahmoud Dahoud
48'
-
Mats Hummels
87'
-
Milot Rashica
14'
-
Marco Friedl
60'
-
Milos Veljkovic
66'
-
Christian Gross
77'
-
Niklas Moisander
85'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
12
-
Kevin Mohwald
28'
-
Christian Gross
54'
-
Nick Woltemade
87'
-
Romano Schmid
90'+2'
-
Raphael Guerreiro
12'
-
Marco Reus
35'
-
Axel Witsel
60'
-
Marco Reus
78'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
23
-
Dan-Axel Zagadou
52'
-
Erling Braut Haaland
66'
DFB-Pokal
-
Davie Selke
16'
-
Leonardo Bittencourt
23'
-
Leonardo Bittencourt
30'
-
Milot Rashica
70'
-
Niklas Moisander
85'
-
Nico Schulz
49'
-
Marco Reus
64'
-
Erling Braut Haaland
67'
-
Giovanni Reyna
78'
-
Giovanni Reyna
85'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
6
-
Mario Gotze
9'
-
Marco Reus
41'
-
Julian Weigl
68'
-
Milot Rashica
7'
-
Marco Friedl
55'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
32
-
Davy Klaassen
33'
-
Marco Friedl
39'
-
Kevin Mohwald
70'
-
Claudio Pizarro
75'
-
Christian Pulisic
6'
-
Paco Alcacer
41'
-
Julian Weigl
80'