Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 3

Aug 20, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
2 - 3
Werder Bremen

Brandt (45+2'), Guerreiro (77')
Modeste (39'), Can (42'), Wolf (83'), Reus (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Buchanan (89'), Schmidt (90+3'), Burke (90+5')
Fullkrug (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:

Last Game: Freiburg 1-3 Dortmund
Friday, August 12 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Bayern Munich	2	7	6
3	Borussia Dortmund	2	3	6
4	FC Koln	2	2	4

Werder Bremen

Last Six:

Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Augsburg	2	-3	3
10	Werder Bremen	2	0	2
11	RB Leipzig	2	0	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Werder Bremen
52.06% ( 0.7)	20.94% ( -0.54)	27% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 68.02% (

1.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.72% (

2.56)

30.28% (

-2.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.47% (

3.01)

51.53% (

-3.01)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.91% (

1.09)

12.08% (

-1.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.38% (

2.26)

37.61% (

-2.26)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.37% (

1.25)

22.62% (

-1.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.75% (

1.82)

56.24% (

-1.82)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 52.06%

Werder Bremen 27%

Draw 20.94%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.36) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.6) 3-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.14) 4-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.16) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.14) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.81% Total : 52.06%	1-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.55) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.41) 3-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.53% Total : 20.94%	1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.44) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.13% Total : 27%