Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Copenhagen had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.38%) and 3-2 (5.22%). The likeliest Copenhagen win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.