Champions League
Sep 6, 2022 5.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Marco Reus 35' goal
  • Raphael Guerreiro 42' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 83' goal

Borussia Dortmund vs Copenhagen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Copenhagen

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Copenhagen had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.38%) and 3-2 (5.22%). The likeliest Copenhagen win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result

Borussia Dortmund 43.87% (-0.01)
Draw 20.35%
Copenhagen 35.78% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

75.67% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 77.5% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 22.5% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 58.42%
Under 3.5 41.58%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 88.37% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 11.63% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 63.35% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 36.64% (+0.01)

Copenhagen Goals

Over 0.5 85.62% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 14.38% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 57.74% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 42.26% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 43.87%
Draw 20.35%
Copenhagen 35.78%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.51%
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 5.22%
2-0 @ 3.87%
1-0 @ 3.6% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.9%
4-2 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.78%
4-3 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.49%
5-1 @ 1.25%
5-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 43.87%
Draw
2-2 @ 7.28%
1-1 @ 6.98%
3-3 @ 3.38%
0-0 @ 1.67%
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 20.35%
Copenhagen
1-2 @ 6.77%
2-3 @ 4.71%
1-3 @ 4.37%
0-1 @ 3.24%
0-2 @ 3.14%
2-4 @ 2.28%
1-4 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
3-4 @ 1.64%
Other @ 5.47%
Total : 35.78%