RB Leipzig
1 - 4
Dortmund

Olmo (71')
Upamecano (45'), Olmo (81')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Sancho (5', 45'), Braut Haaland (28', 87')
Can (15'), Bellingham (25'), Dahoud (50'), Sancho (81'), Hummels (90')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
42.78%	24.67%	32.55%

Both teams to score 58.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.06%

44.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.71%

67.29%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.93%

21.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.11%

53.89%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.5%

26.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.31%

61.69%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 42.78%

Borussia Dortmund 32.55%

Draw 24.66%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.99% 1-0 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.66% Total : 42.78%	1-1 @ 11.54% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.66%	1-2 @ 7.67% 0-1 @ 7.42% 0-2 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.2% Total : 32.55%