DFB-Pokal
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Giovanni Reyna
16'
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Giovanni Reyna
23'
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Marco Reus
26'
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Thorgan Hazard
32'
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Jude Bellingham
41'
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Niklas Hauptmann
37'
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Simon Lorenz
86'
Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result
Borussia Dortmund
50.23%
Draw
24.72%
Holstein Kiel
25.05%
Both Teams to Score:
52.76%
Goals
Over 2.5
50.49%
Under 2.5
49.51%
Over 3.5
28.46%
Under 3.5
71.54%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
80.28%
Under 0.5
19.72%
Over 1.5
48.26%
Under 1.5
51.74%
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5
65.72%
Under 0.5
34.28%
Over 1.5
29.02%
Under 1.5
70.98%
Score analysis
Borussia Dortmund
50.23%
Draw
24.72%
Holstein Kiel
25.05%
Borussia Dortmund
1-0
@
10.97%
2-1 @ 9.54%
2-0 @ 8.91%
3-1 @ 5.16%
3-0 @ 4.82%
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 2.1%
4-0 @ 1.96%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 50.23%
2-1 @ 9.54%
2-0 @ 8.91%
3-1 @ 5.16%
3-0 @ 4.82%
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 2.1%
4-0 @ 1.96%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 50.23%
Draw
1-1
@
11.75%
0-0 @ 6.76%
2-2 @ 5.11%
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 24.72%
0-0 @ 6.76%
2-2 @ 5.11%
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 24.72%
Holstein Kiel
0-1
@
7.24%
1-2 @ 6.29%
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 2.25%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 25.05%
1-2 @ 6.29%
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 2.25%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 25.05%