Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marco Reus 27' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 70' yellowcard
  • Mats Hummels 72' yellowcard
  • Raphael Guerreiro 88' goal
  • yellowcard Robin Knoche 48'

Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund 4 - 1 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Erling Braut Haaland

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin 2 - 1 Stuttgart
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Max Kruse

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 68.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 13.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.

Result

Borussia Dortmund 68.64%
Draw 18.25%
Union Berlin 13.11%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.38%

Goals

Over 2.5 60.78%
Under 2.5 39.22%
Over 3.5 38.44%
Under 3.5 61.55%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 89.6%
Under 0.5 10.4%
Over 1.5 66.06%
Under 1.5 33.94%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 58.46%
Under 0.5 41.54%
Over 1.5 21.96%
Under 1.5 78.03%

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 68.63%
Draw 18.25%
Union Berlin 13.11%
Borussia Dortmund
2-0 @ 11.06%
1-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 9.72%
3-0 @ 8.35%
3-1 @ 7.34%
4-0 @ 4.73%
4-1 @ 4.15%
3-2 @ 3.22%
5-0 @ 2.14%
5-1 @ 1.88%
4-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 68.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.59%
0-0 @ 4.32%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 18.25%
Union Berlin
0-1 @ 3.8%
1-2 @ 3.77%
0-2 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.25%
1-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 13.11%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Dec 18, 2020 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Taiwo Awoniyi 57' goal
  • Marius Bulter 62' yellowcard
  • Marvin Friedrich 78' goal
  • goal Youssoufa Moukoko 60'
  • yellowcard Axel Witsel 67'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2020 2.30pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Signal Iduna Park
  • Jadon Sancho 13' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 18' goal
  • Marco Reus 68' goal
  • Axel Witsel 70' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 76' goal
  • yellowcard Marvin Friedrich 64'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2019 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin)
  • Marius Bulter 22' goal
  • Marius Bulter 50' goal
  • Sebastian Andersson 75' goal
  • goal Paco Alcacer 25'
DFB-Pokal
Oct 31, 2018 5.30pm
3
2
ET
  • Christian Pulisic 40' goal
  • Achraf Hakimi 61' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Philipp 73' goal
  • Marco Reus 120' goal
  • Axel Witsel 120' yellowcard
  • goal Sebastian Polter 63'
  • goal Sebastian Polter 88'
  • yellowcard Marvin Friedrich 109'
  • yellowcard Christopher Trimmel 115'
  • redcard Marvin Friedrich 118'
  • yellowcard Florian Hubner 120'