Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 21, 2021 at 7.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
2 - 0
Union Berlin

Reus (27'), Guerreiro (88')
Bellingham (70'), Hummels (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Knoche (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 68.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 13.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Union Berlin
68.64%	18.25%	13.11%

Both teams to score 52.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.78%

39.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.44%

61.55%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.6%

10.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.06%

33.94%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.46%

41.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.96%

78.03%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 68.63%

Union Berlin 13.11%

Draw 18.25%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Union Berlin
2-0 @ 11.06% 1-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 7.34% 4-0 @ 4.73% 4-1 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 3.22% 5-0 @ 2.14% 5-1 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.82% Other @ 4.45% Total : 68.63%	1-1 @ 8.59% 0-0 @ 4.32% 2-2 @ 4.27% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.25%	0-1 @ 3.8% 1-2 @ 3.77% 0-2 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.25% 1-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.52% Total : 13.11%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Union Berlin

Borussia Dortmund

85.7%

Draw

10.2%

Union Berlin

4.1%