Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 29

Apr 17, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
2 - 1
Stuttgart

Promel (20'), Musa (43')
Promel (9'), Trimmel (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Forster (49')
Coulibaly (30'), Karazor (51'), Mavropanos (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Stuttgart
39.14%	24.9%	35.95%

Both teams to score 58.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.73%

45.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.39%

67.6%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.03%

22.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.25%

56.75%

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.34%

24.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.82%

59.18%

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 39.14%

Stuttgart 35.95%

Draw 24.9%

Union Berlin	Draw	Stuttgart
2-1 @ 8.58% 1-0 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 4.21% 3-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.14%	1-1 @ 11.66% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9%	1-2 @ 8.17% 0-1 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 0.98% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.88% Total : 35.95%