Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 10, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Stuttgart
2 - 3
Dortmund

Kalajdzic (17'), Didavi (78')
Sosa (21'), Forster (28'), Kempf (50'), Anton (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bellingham (47'), Reus (52'), Knauff (80')
Hummels (31'), Hitz (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
30.37%	23.98%	45.65%

Both teams to score 59.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.32%

42.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.92%

65.08%

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.23%

26.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.95%

62.05%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.1%

18.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.62%

50.38%

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 30.37%

Borussia Dortmund 45.65%

Draw 23.97%

Stuttgart	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.32% 1-0 @ 6.67% 2-0 @ 4.39% 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.68% 3-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.11% Total : 30.37%	1-1 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.97%	1-2 @ 9.25% 0-1 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 5.14% 0-3 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 3.39% 1-4 @ 2.14% 0-4 @ 1.62% 2-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.34% Total : 45.65%