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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
30.37% | 23.98% | 45.65% |
Both teams to score 59.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.32% | 42.68% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.92% | 65.08% |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.23% | 26.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.95% | 62.05% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.1% | 18.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.62% | 50.38% |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 7.32% 1-0 @ 6.67% 2-0 @ 4.39% 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.68% 3-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.11% Total : 30.37% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 9.25% 0-1 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 5.14% 0-3 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 3.39% 1-4 @ 2.14% 0-4 @ 1.62% 2-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.34% Total : 45.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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