Metal Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 5
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
 
Shakhtar Donetsk

Metal Kharkiv
1 - 6
Shakhtar

Chidomere (88')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Sikan (18', 29', 38'), Zubkov (36'), Traore (72'), Durasek (90+1')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Metal Kharkiv and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metal Kharkiv

All competitions
Last Game: Kovalivka 1-0 Metal Kharkiv
Sunday, September 11 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Shakhtar 1-1 Celtic
Wednesday, September 14 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Metal Kharkiv had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Metal Kharkiv win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Metal KharkivDrawShakhtar Donetsk
29.37% (0.099 0.1)24.43% (-0.004999999999999 -0)46.2% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Both teams to score 57.2% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.71% (0.082000000000001 0.08)45.29% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.37% (0.079000000000001 0.08)67.63% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Metal Kharkiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (0.11200000000001 0.11)28.75% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41% (0.136 0.14)64.59% (-0.129 -0.13)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29%19.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)51.73% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Metal Kharkiv 29.37%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 46.2%
    Draw 24.43%
Metal KharkivDrawShakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 7.15% (0.017 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.07% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-0 @ 4.4% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.97% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.83% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 29.37%
1-1 @ 11.47%
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.47% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.14% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.64% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 46.2%