Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 71.02%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 10.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Chornomorets Odesa
71.02% ( 0.35)	17.99% ( -0.09)	10.98% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 46.32% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.37% (

-0.29)

43.63% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.98% (

-0.28)

66.02% (

0.28)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89% (

0.01)

11% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.72% (

0.03)

35.28% (

-0.03)

Chornomorets Odesa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.04% (

-0.65)

47.96% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.8% (

-0.48)

83.2% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 71.02%

Chornomorets Odesa 10.98%

Draw 17.99%

Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Chornomorets Odesa
2-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 11.64% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.67% Total : 71.02%	1-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.69% Total : 17.99%	0-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.54% Total : 10.98%