Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 18.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.