Champions League
Oct 5, 2022 5.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Christopher Nkunku 27' goal
  • Andre Silva 64' goal
  • Andre Silva 77' goal
  • goal Jota 47'

RB Leipzig vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 14, 2022 8.00pm
Real Madrid 2 - 0 RB Leipzig

Celtic

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 14, 2022 5.45pm
Shakhtar 1 - 1 Celtic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Celtic win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result

RB Leipzig 39.67% (+0.12)
Draw 24.23% (+0.01)
Celtic 36.09% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.48% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.89% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 42.1% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 35.49% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 64.51% (+0.03)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 78.68% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 21.32% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 45.73% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 54.27% (-0.08)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5 76.87% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 23.13% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 43% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 56.99% (+0.11)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 39.67%
Draw 24.23%
Celtic 36.09%
RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.62% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.62% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.89% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.44% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.25% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.03% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 39.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 6.31% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.93% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.23%
Celtic
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.22% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.99% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 36.09%

Head to Head

Europa League Gameweek 4
Nov 8, 2018 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Celtic Park (Glasgow)
  • Kieran Tierney 11' goal
  • Filip Benkovic 35' yellowcard
  • Kieran Tierney 52' yellowcard
  • Odsonne Edouard 79' goal
  • yellowcard Jean-Kevin Augustin 17'
  • yellowcard Marcel Halstenberg 44'
  • yellowcard Konrad Laimer 55'
  • yellowcard Marcel Sabitzer 63'
  • goal Jean-Kevin Augustin 79'
Europa League Gameweek 3
Oct 25, 2018 5.55pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Matheus Cunha 31' goal
  • Bruma 35' goal
  • Stefan Ilsanker 65' yellowcard
  • Konrad Laimer 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dedryck Boyata 86'