Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Celtic win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.