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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 66.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 15.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 66.74% ( | 18.18% ( | 15.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.79% ( | 34.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.89% ( | 56.1% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.5% ( | 9.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.14% ( | 31.86% ( |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.43% ( | 35.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.66% ( | 72.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 1-0 @ 7.95% ( 3-1 @ 7.59% ( 3-0 @ 7.35% ( 4-1 @ 4.47% ( 4-0 @ 4.32% ( 3-2 @ 3.92% ( 4-2 @ 2.31% ( 5-1 @ 2.1% ( 5-0 @ 2.04% ( 5-2 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 4.57% Total : 66.75% | 1-1 @ 8.22% ( 2-2 @ 5% ( 0-0 @ 3.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.18% | 1-2 @ 4.25% ( 0-1 @ 3.49% ( 0-2 @ 1.81% ( 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 1-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 15.07% |