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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
VfL Bochum

RB Leipzig
4 - 0
VfL Bochum

Werner (15', 53'), Nkunku (23' pen., 85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Soares (19'), Horn (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, September 17 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, September 18 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 2-0 VfL Bochum

 Bochum should be better organised and more motivated in Letsch's first game in charge of them, but we are struggling to see beyond a comfortable home win. After an unconvincing start to the campaign, Leipzig know that they need to start winning more matches sooner rather than later, and are unlikely to pass up a golden opportunity on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 66.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 15.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawVfL Bochum
66.74% (0.842 0.84) 18.18% (-0.333 -0.33) 15.07% (-0.506 -0.51)
Both teams to score 58.31% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.79% (0.554 0.55)34.21% (-0.552 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.89% (0.624 0.62)56.1% (-0.621 -0.62)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.5% (0.35000000000001 0.35)9.5% (-0.348 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.14% (0.81700000000001 0.82)31.86% (-0.815 -0.81)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.43% (-0.277 -0.28)35.57% (0.27800000000001 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.66% (-0.287 -0.29)72.34% (0.289 0.29)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 66.75%
    VfL Bochum 15.07%
    Draw 18.18%
RB LeipzigDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.36% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.95% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.59% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 7.35% (0.131 0.13)
4-1 @ 4.47% (0.115 0.12)
4-0 @ 4.32% (0.143 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.92% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.31% (0.043 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.1% (0.086 0.09)
5-0 @ 2.04% (0.097 0.1)
5-2 @ 1.09% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 66.75%
1-1 @ 8.22% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.38% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.18%
1-2 @ 4.25% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-1 @ 3.49% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 1.81% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 15.07%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs VfL Bochum

RB Leipzig
83.8%
Draw
10.3%
VfL Bochum
5.9%
68
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 2.30pm
VfL Bochum
0-1
RB Leipzig

Gamboa (87')
Nkunku (82')
Simakan (70')
Oct 2, 2021 5.30pm
RB Leipzig
3-0
VfL Bochum
Silva (69'), Nkunku (73', 78')
Angelino (58')

Tesche (80')
Feb 3, 2021 5.30pm
RB Leipzig
4-0
VfL Bochum
Haidara (11'), Sabitzer (45+1' pen.), Poulsen (66', 75')
Angelino (60'), Hee-chan (88')

Masovic (24'), Drewes (45+1'), Soares (63'), Raman Chibsah (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Wolfsburg146353125621
7Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242
> Bundesliga Full Table


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