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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 66.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 15.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | VfL Bochum |
66.74% ( 0.84) | 18.18% ( -0.33) | 15.07% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 58.31% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.79% ( 0.55) | 34.21% ( -0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.89% ( 0.62) | 56.1% ( -0.62) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.5% ( 0.35) | 9.5% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.14% ( 0.82) | 31.86% ( -0.81) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.43% ( -0.28) | 35.57% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.66% ( -0.29) | 72.34% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | VfL Bochum |
2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.1) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.57% Total : 66.75% | 1-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.18% | 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.34% Total : 15.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
11 | Heidenheim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 34 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 31 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 |
17 | FC Koln | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 72 | -42 | 17 |
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