Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Simon Zoller 39' yellowcard
  • Vassilios Lambropoulos 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mitchell Weiser 33'
  • yellowcard Amos Pieper 69'
  • goal Niclas Fullkrug 86'
  • goal Niclas Fullkrug 90'+2'

VfL Bochum vs Werder Bremen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Last game
Aug 26, 2022 7.30pm
Freiburg 1 - 0 VfL Bochum
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Philipp Hofmann

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2022 4.30pm
Werder Bremen 3 - 4 Frankfurt
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Niclas Fullkrug

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result

VfL Bochum 27.4% (+0.20)
Draw 23.77% (+0.22)
Werder Bremen 48.82% (-0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

58% (-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.41% (-0.84)
Under 2.5 43.58% (+0.84)
Over 3.5 34.02% (-0.83)
Under 3.5 65.97% (+0.83)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5 70.72% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 29.28% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 34.76% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 65.24% (+0.36)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5 82.01% (-0.48)
Under 0.5 17.98% (+0.48)
Over 1.5 51.16% (-0.83)
Under 1.5 48.84% (+0.83)

Score analysis

VfL Bochum 27.4%
Draw 23.77%
Werder Bremen 48.82%
VfL Bochum
2-1 @ 6.82% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 6.47% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 3.97% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.63% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 27.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.09% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.27% (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.77%
Werder Bremen
1-2 @ 9.52% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 9.03% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 7.75% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 5.44% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 4.43% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.09)
1-4 @ 2.34% (-0.08)
0-4 @ 1.9% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 48.82%