Champions League
Oct 25, 2022 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Josko Gvardiol 13' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 18' goal
  • Timo Werner 81' goal
  • goal Vinicius Junior 44'
  • goal Rodrygo 90'+4'

RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 11, 2022 8.00pm
Celtic 0 - 2 RB Leipzig

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 11, 2022 8.00pm
Shakhtar 1 - 1 Real Madrid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 52.71%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.92%) and 0-1 (6.85%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result

RB Leipzig 25.77% (+0.03)
Draw 21.52% (-0.01)
Real Madrid 52.71% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.55% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.71% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 34.29% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 43.81% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 56.19% (-0.07)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 74.42% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 25.58% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 39.55% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 60.45% (-0.07)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 86.74% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 13.26% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 59.95% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 40.05% (-0.03)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 25.77%
Draw 21.52%
Real Madrid 52.71%
RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.37% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 4.62% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 2.92% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.9% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.43% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 25.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.34% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.44% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.39% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.97% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.52%
Real Madrid
1-2 @ 9.44% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.92% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 6.36% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.66% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.33% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.21% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.36% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.1%
Total : 52.71%

Head to Head

Champions League
Sep 14, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Federico Valverde 80' goal
  • Marco Asensio 90'+1' goal

Build-up

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