Leipzig logo
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 18, 2022 at 5pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Hamburg logo

RB Leipzig
4 - 0
Hamburger SV

Poulsen (33', 36'), Simakan (69'), Henrichs (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal Second Round clash between RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-2 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, October 15 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Hamburger SV

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: St Pauli 3-0 Hamburger SV
Friday, October 14 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawHamburger SV
43.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.99% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)33.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 64.6% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.49% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)36.5% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.35% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)58.64% (0.0039999999999978 0)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)17.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (-0.012 -0.01)21.74% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.08% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)54.92% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 43.15%
    Hamburger SV 33.85%
    Draw 22.99%
RB LeipzigDrawHamburger SV
2-1 @ 8.82%
1-0 @ 6.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-2 @ 3.92%
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.71%
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 43.15%
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 6.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 7.71%
0-1 @ 5.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 33.85%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV

RB Leipzig
94.7%
Draw
2.6%
Hamburger SV
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2019 7.45pm
Hamburger SV
1-3
RB Leipzig
Jatta (24')
Poulsen (12'), Janjicic (53' og.), Forsberg (72')
Orban (58')
Jan 27, 2018 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
1-1
Hamburger SV
Bruma (9')
Kostic (29')
Hunt (9'), Papadopoulos (58')
Sep 8, 2017 7.30pm
Hamburger SV
0-2
RB Leipzig

Walace (87')
Keita (67'), Werner (75')
Keita (60')
Feb 11, 2017 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
0-3
Hamburger SV

Werner (10'), Orban (82')
Papadopoulos (18'), Walace (24'), Hunt (93')
Papadopoulos (55'), Jung (86')
Sep 17, 2016 2.30pm
Hamburger SV
0-4
RB Leipzig

Sakai (8'), Spahic (13'), Djourou (51'), Adler (65'), Shou Wood (70')
Forsberg (66' pen.), Werner (72', 77'), Selke (94')
Compper (74')
rhs 2.0


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