Hamburg logo
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Sep 17, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Imtech Arena
Fortuna Dusseldorf logo

Hamburger SV
2 - 0
Dusseldorf

Glatzel (21'), Jatta (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Hamburger SV and Fortuna Dusseldorf.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
Hamburger SVDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
49.15% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)23.21% (0.12 0.12)27.64% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 60.17% (-0.502 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.19% (-0.632 -0.63)40.8% (0.633 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.81% (-0.649 -0.65)63.19% (0.65 0.65)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.19% (-0.25 -0.25)16.8% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.22% (-0.45 -0.45)46.77% (0.451 0.45)
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (-0.384 -0.38)27.67% (0.385 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77% (-0.498 -0.5)63.22% (0.498 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Hamburger SV 49.15%
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 27.64%
    Draw 23.2%
Hamburger SVDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.29% (0.169 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.091 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.4% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 49.15%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.133 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.2%
1-2 @ 6.84% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.97% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.84% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 27.64%

Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 12.30pm
Dusseldorf
1-1
Hamburger SV
Bodzek (85')
Prib (73'), Bodzek (88')
Glatzel (90+3')
Jatta (33')
Oct 16, 2021 7.30pm
Jan 26, 2021 7.30pm
Dusseldorf
0-0
Hamburger SV

Hoffmann (10'), Danso (47'), Sobottka (58')

Kittel (45'), Ambrosius (73'), Leibold (90+2')
Sep 18, 2020 5.30pm
Hamburger SV
2-1
Dusseldorf
Terodde (45+2' pen., 60')
Onana (80'), Jung (90+4')
Zimmermann (90+3')
Bodzek (73'), Opoku Ampomah (82')
Opoku Ampomah (90')
Apr 20, 2013 2.30pm
Hamburger SV
2-1
Dusseldorf
Van der Vaart (14', 20')
Diekmeier (82'), Jansen (89')
Schahin (34')
Lambertz (18'), Fink (27'), Levels (62')