2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Sep 9, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Hamburg logo

Holstein Kiel
2 - 3
Hamburger SV

Heyer (90+2' og.), Bartels (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Glatzel (39'), Heyer (69'), Reis (85')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Hamburger SV.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 24.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
Holstein KielDrawHamburger SV
24.61% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)22.58% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)52.82% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.41% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.51% (0.048000000000002 0.05)40.5% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.13% (0.049999999999997 0.05)62.88% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (0.016000000000005 0.02)29.79% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.14% (0.018999999999998 0.02)65.86% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.61% (0.028999999999996 0.03)15.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.81% (0.048999999999999 0.05)44.2% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 24.61%
    Hamburger SV 52.82%
    Draw 22.57%
Holstein KielDrawHamburger SV
2-1 @ 6.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 5.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 24.61%
1-1 @ 10.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.57%
1-2 @ 9.72%
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 6.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 5.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.67% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.84% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.34% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.72% (0.004 0)
1-5 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 52.82%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Hamburger SV

Holstein Kiel
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Hamburger SV
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 12.30pm
Holstein Kiel
1-0
Hamburger SV
Okyere Wriedt (13')
Muhling (17'), Neumann (79')

Reis (39'), Vuskovic (68'), Kaufmann (76')
Oct 30, 2021 7.30pm
Hamburger SV
1-1
Holstein Kiel
Kittel (12' pen.)
David (74'), Muheim (80'), Wintzheimer (90+2')
Pichler (46')
Korb (11'), Lorenz (29'), Holtby (78'), Sander (90+1')
Mar 8, 2021 7.30pm
Nov 9, 2020 7.30pm
Jun 8, 2020 7.30pm
Hamburger SV
3-3
Holstein Kiel
Hunt (21' pen.), Pohjanpalo (23', 67')
Hunt (45'), Leibold (69'), Pollersbeck (84'), Dudziak (86'), Jung (89')
Muhling (9'), Iyoha (64'), Jae-sung (90+3')
van den Bergh (73')