Arminia Bielefeld logos
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 13, 2022 at 12pm UK
Bielefelder Alm
Hamburg logo

Arminia Bielefeld
0 - 2
Hamburger SV


Vasiliadis (30'), Hack (64'), Bello (76'), Husing (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Konigsdorffer (28'), Benes (74')
Heyer (52')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Arminia Bielefeld and Hamburger SV.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-0 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
Arminia BielefeldDrawHamburger SV
19.26% (0.965 0.97)22.03% (0.441 0.44)58.7% (-1.407 -1.41)
Both teams to score 53.62% (0.293 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.41% (-0.469 -0.47)44.58% (0.469 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.05% (-0.457 -0.46)66.95% (0.456 0.46)
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.98% (0.784 0.78)37.02% (-0.784 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.19% (0.77 0.77)73.8% (-0.771 -0.77)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.14% (-0.602 -0.6)14.86% (0.601 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.81% (-1.159 -1.16)43.18% (1.158 1.16)
Score Analysis
    Arminia Bielefeld 19.26%
    Hamburger SV 58.7%
    Draw 22.03%
Arminia BielefeldDrawHamburger SV
1-0 @ 5.47% (0.223 0.22)
2-1 @ 5.18% (0.211 0.21)
2-0 @ 2.72% (0.166 0.17)
3-1 @ 1.72% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 19.26%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.03%
0-1 @ 10.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-2 @ 9.94% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.35% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-3 @ 6.32% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 3.03% (-0.204 -0.2)
1-4 @ 3.01% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.16% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-5 @ 1.15% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 58.7%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2019 7.30pm
Feb 2, 2019 12pm
Aug 27, 2018 7.30pm
rhs 2.0


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