DFB-Pokal | First Round
Jul 30, 2022 at 2.31pm UK
 
Hamburg logo

Bayreuth
1 - 3
Hamburger SV

Hemmerich (16')
Steininger (7'), Andermatt (53'), Groiss (63'), Weber (91'), Kolbe (109')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Konigsdorffer (83', 111'), Schonlau (97')
Schonlau (72'), Muheim (105')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Bayreuth and Hamburger SV.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayreuth

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Last Game: Bayreuth 3-6 Arminia Bielefeld
Saturday, August 7 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
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Hamburger SV

Last Six:
Last Game: Hamburger SV 0-1 Hansa Rostock
Sunday, July 24 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 74.73%. A draw has a probability of 15% and a win for Bayreuth has a probability of 10.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win is 0-2 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-3 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.78%), while for a Bayreuth win it is 2-1 (3.07%).

Result
BayreuthDrawHamburger SV
10.3% (0.025 0.03)14.97% (0.016999999999999 0.02)74.73% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.42% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)30.77% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.89% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)52.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Bayreuth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.56% (0.039999999999999 0.04)40.44% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.95% (0.035 0.04)77.05% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)6.95% (0.011 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.53% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)25.47% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bayreuth 10.3%
    Hamburger SV 74.73%
    Draw 14.97%
BayreuthDrawHamburger SV
2-1 @ 3.07% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 2.54% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
2-0 @ 1.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 10.3%
1-1 @ 6.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.81% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 14.97%
0-2 @ 9.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-3 @ 8.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 8.04%
0-1 @ 7.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 5.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 5.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.64% (0.004 0)
0-5 @ 3.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-6 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
2-5 @ 1.3%
1-6 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 74.73%