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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Aug 6, 2022 at 12pm UK
Volksparkstadion
Heidenheim

Hamburger SV
1 - 0
Heidenheim

Glatzel (42')
Rohr (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kleindienst (26'), Mainka (41')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Hamburger SV and Heidenheim.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 54.92%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 22.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
Hamburger SVDrawHeidenheim
54.92% (1.434 1.43)22.33% (-0.122 -0.12)22.75% (-1.318 -1.32)
Both teams to score 57.97% (-1.246 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.64% (-0.893 -0.89)41.35% (0.888 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.25% (-0.911 -0.91)63.75% (0.906 0.91)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.01% (0.164 0.16)14.98% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.56% (0.311 0.31)43.43% (-0.317 -0.32)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.19% (-1.603 -1.6)31.8% (1.599 1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.76% (-1.878 -1.88)68.24% (1.872 1.87)
Score Analysis
    Hamburger SV 54.92%
    Heidenheim 22.75%
    Draw 22.32%
Hamburger SVDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.41 0.41)
2-0 @ 8.59% (0.437 0.44)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.43% (0.306 0.31)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.95% (0.058 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.16 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.029 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 54.92%
1-1 @ 10.36% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.189 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.32%
1-2 @ 5.94% (-0.253 -0.25)
0-1 @ 5.46% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 22.75%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 12.30pm
Hamburger SV
2-0
Heidenheim
Kittel (63', 77' pen.)
Muheim (76')

Fohrenbach (43'), Kleindienst (85')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
Heidenheim
0-0
Hamburger SV

Leipertz (21'), Kuhlwetter (59'), Busch (79')

Leibold (26'), Kittel (27')
Mar 20, 2021 12pm
Nov 29, 2020 12.30pm
Heidenheim
3-2
Hamburger SV
Kuhlwetter (28', 44', 90')
Geipl (55')
Kittel (16'), Leistner (24')
Onana (29'), Ambrosius (32'), Leibold (76')
Jun 21, 2020 2.30pm
Heidenheim
2-1
Hamburger SV
Beyer (80' og.), Kerschbaumer (90+5')
Griesbeck (39'), Thomalla (65')
Pohjanpalo (46')
Jung (23'), Beyer (90+2'), Pollersbeck (90+4')