DFB-Pokal | First Round
Jul 31, 2022 at 5.01pm UK
 

W. Mannheim
0 - 0
Holstein Kiel


Baxter Bahn (55')
FT

Komenda (30'), Sander (32'), Arp (65'), Wolf (91'), Okyere Wriedt (111')
W. Mannheim win 5-3 on penalties
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Waldhof Mannheim and Holstein Kiel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Waldhof Mannheim

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Last Game: W. Mannheim 1-3 Union Berlin
Wednesday, October 27 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal
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Holstein Kiel

Last Six:
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-2 Kaiserslautern
Saturday, July 23 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waldhof Mannheim win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Waldhof Mannheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Waldhof MannheimDrawHolstein Kiel
39.22% (-0.529 -0.53)24.62% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)36.15% (0.612 0.61)
Both teams to score 59.05% (0.38 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.04% (0.454 0.45)43.96% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.66% (0.443 0.44)66.34% (-0.44200000000001 -0.44)
Waldhof Mannheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.65% (-0.059999999999988 -0.06)22.35% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.16% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)55.83% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.05% (0.54600000000001 0.55)23.95% (-0.546 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.82% (0.775 0.77)58.18% (-0.773 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Waldhof Mannheim 39.22%
    Holstein Kiel 36.15%
    Draw 24.62%
Waldhof MannheimDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
1-0 @ 8.02% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.29% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 39.22%
1-1 @ 11.46% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.35% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.62%
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.083 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.65% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.101 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.6% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.057 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.041 0.04)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 36.15%