Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.