Paderborn logo
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 at 12pm UK
 

SC Paderborn
7 - 2
Holstein Kiel

Muslija (7' pen.), Justvan (13'), Obermair (25'), Platte (29', 38'), Pieringer (52'), Srbeny (80')
Carls (84')
FT(HT: 5-2)
Korb (10'), Skrzybski (45+1')
Pichler (6'), Sander (37'), Erras (40'), Arp (66')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between SC Paderborn and Holstein Kiel.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 54.11%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 23.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.

Result
SC PaderbornDrawHolstein Kiel
54.11% (0.235 0.23)22.42% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)23.47% (-0.151 -0.15)
Both teams to score 58.59% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.05% (0.203 0.2)40.95% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.65% (0.206 0.21)63.34% (-0.202 -0.2)
SC Paderborn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.88% (0.14999999999999 0.15)15.11% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.32% (0.279 0.28)43.67% (-0.277 -0.28)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)30.97% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.73% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)67.27% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    SC Paderborn 54.11%
    Holstein Kiel 23.47%
    Draw 22.41%
SC PaderbornDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.84% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.17% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.26% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.91% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.49% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.71% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 54.11%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.41%
1-2 @ 6.08% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.49% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 23.47%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2022 5.30pm
Holstein Kiel
3-4
SC Paderborn
Arp (23'), Muhling (81' pen.), Pichler (88')
Arslan (30'), Bartels (85')
Schallenberg (19'), Thalhammer (54'), Muslija (74'), Collins (76')
Hunemeier (14'), Mehlem (59')
Sep 25, 2021 12.30pm
SC Paderborn
1-2
Holstein Kiel
Michel (42')
Collins (19'), Michel (29'), Platte (46'), van der Werff (82')
Collins (27')
Porath (51'), Mees (78')
Thesker (46'), Erras (90')
Jan 27, 2021 7.30pm
Sep 20, 2020 12.30pm
Apr 20, 2019 12pm
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!