2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 14, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Hamburg logo

St Pauli
3 - 0
Hamburger SV

Smith (61'), Hartel (74'), Otto (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Hamburger SV.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last Game: Braunschweig 2-1 St Pauli
Saturday, October 8 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last Game: Hamburger SV 1-1 Kaiserslautern
Saturday, October 8 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
St PauliDrawHamburger SV
29.91% (0.423 0.42)23.81% (0.251 0.25)46.28% (-0.676 -0.68)
Both teams to score 59.7% (-0.617 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.85% (-0.929 -0.93)42.15% (0.925 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.44% (-0.936 -0.94)64.55% (0.934 0.93)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)26.81% (0.185 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.89% (-0.245 -0.25)62.1% (0.24299999999999 0.24)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (-0.634 -0.63)18.43% (0.632 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.4% (-1.078 -1.08)49.6% (1.076 1.08)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 29.91%
    Hamburger SV 46.28%
    Draw 23.81%
St PauliDrawHamburger SV
2-1 @ 7.24% (0.078 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.5% (0.233 0.23)
2-0 @ 4.28% (0.132 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.88% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 29.91%
1-1 @ 11% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.94% (0.202 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 9.3% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.36% (0.176 0.18)
0-2 @ 7.07% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.24% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.98% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.22% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 46.28%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Hamburger SV

St Pauli
10.0%
Draw
5.0%
Hamburger SV
85.0%
20
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2022 5.30pm
Hamburger SV
2-1
St Pauli
Schonlau (58'), Jatta (70')
Walter (63'), Kittel (66'), Reis (78')
Burgstaller (30')
Amenyido (26'), Irvine (45+3'), Hartel (65'), Benatelli (90+4')
Aug 13, 2021 5.30pm
St Pauli
3-2
Hamburger SV
Ole Becker (27'), Makienok (56', 58')
Paqarada (5'), Dzwigala (84')
Kittel (43'), Glatzel (77')
Schonlau (3'), Kinsombi (66'), Kaufmann (90')
Mar 1, 2021 7.30pm
St Pauli
1-0
Hamburger SV
Kyereh (88')
Ziereis (11'), Marmoush (31'), Reginiussen (49'), Benatelli (56'), Kyereh (90+4'), Burgstaller (90+4')

Jung (35')
Leibold (90+5')
Oct 30, 2020 5.30pm
Hamburger SV
2-2
St Pauli
Terodde (12', 84')
Kittel (71')
Zalazar Martinez (35'), Makienok (82')
Dittgen (56')
Feb 22, 2020 12pm
Hamburger SV
0-2
St Pauli
Veerman (20'), Penney (29')
Diamantakos (12'), Ohlsson (62'), Veerman (64'), Buballa (82')
rhs 2.0


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