MX23RW : Monday, May 6 18:00:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 14, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Hamburg logo

St Pauli
3 - 0
Hamburger SV

Smith (61'), Hartel (74'), Otto (89')
Medic (33'), Vasilj (70'), Saliakas (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Heuer Fernandes (70')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Hamburger SV.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last Game: Braunschweig 2-1 St Pauli
Saturday, October 8 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last Game: Hamburger SV 1-1 Kaiserslautern
Saturday, October 8 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
St PauliDrawHamburger SV
29.91% (0.423 0.42) 23.81% (0.251 0.25) 46.28% (-0.676 -0.68)
Both teams to score 59.7% (-0.617 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.85% (-0.929 -0.93)42.15% (0.925 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.44% (-0.936 -0.94)64.55% (0.934 0.93)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)26.81% (0.185 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.89% (-0.245 -0.25)62.1% (0.24299999999999 0.24)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (-0.634 -0.63)18.43% (0.632 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.4% (-1.078 -1.08)49.6% (1.076 1.08)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 29.91%
    Hamburger SV 46.28%
    Draw 23.81%
St PauliDrawHamburger SV
2-1 @ 7.24% (0.078 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.5% (0.233 0.23)
2-0 @ 4.28% (0.132 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.88% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 29.91%
1-1 @ 11% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.94% (0.202 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 9.3% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.36% (0.176 0.18)
0-2 @ 7.07% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.24% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.98% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.22% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 46.28%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Hamburger SV

St Pauli
10.0%
Draw
5.0%
Hamburger SV
85.0%
20
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2022 5.30pm
Hamburger SV
2-1
St Pauli
Schonlau (58'), Jatta (70')
Walter (63'), Kittel (66'), Reis (78')
Burgstaller (30')
Amenyido (26'), Irvine (45+3'), Hartel (65'), Benatelli (90+4')
Aug 13, 2021 5.30pm
St Pauli
3-2
Hamburger SV
Ole Becker (27'), Makienok (56', 58')
Paqarada (5'), Dzwigala (84')
Kittel (43'), Glatzel (77')
Schonlau (3'), Kinsombi (66'), Kaufmann (90')
Mar 1, 2021 7.30pm
St Pauli
1-0
Hamburger SV
Kyereh (88')
Ziereis (11'), Marmoush (31'), Reginiussen (49'), Benatelli (56'), Kyereh (90+4'), Burgstaller (90+4')

Jung (35')
Leibold (90+5')
Oct 30, 2020 5.30pm
Hamburger SV
2-2
St Pauli
Terodde (12', 84')
Kittel (71')
Zalazar Martinez (35'), Makienok (82')
Dittgen (56')
Feb 22, 2020 12pm
Hamburger SV
0-2
St Pauli
Veerman (20'), Penney (29')
Diamantakos (12'), Ohlsson (62'), Veerman (64'), Buballa (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Holstein Kiel32204862372564
2St Pauli32189557342363
3Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf32178768373159
4Hamburger SV32167960421855
5Karlsruher SCKarlsruher321410864461852
6Hannover321213756411549
7Greuther Furth32137124849-146
8SC PaderbornSC Paderborn32137125153-246
9Hertha Berlin32129116556945
10Elversberg32127134957-843
11Magdeburg32910134451-737
12Schalke 04Schalke31107144757-1037
13Nuremberg32107153960-2137
14KaiserslauternKaiserslautern32106165361-836
15Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig32105173648-1235
16Wehen WiesbadenWiesbaden3288163547-1232
17Hansa RostockHansa Rostock3294192853-2531
18VfL OsnabruckOsnabruck31510162861-3325
> 2.Bundesliga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!