Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Eintracht Braunschweig had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Eintracht Braunschweig win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.