Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	SC Paderborn
45.91% ( 0.67)	24.26% ( 0.06)	29.83% ( -0.72)

Both teams to score 58.07% (

-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.72% (

-0.62)

44.28% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.35% (

-0.61)

66.66% (

0.61)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.57% (

0.04)

19.43% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.73% (

0.05)

51.27% (

-0.04)

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.07% (

-0.79)

27.93% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.45% (

-1.02)

63.55% (

1.02)

Score Analysis

St Pauli 45.91%

SC Paderborn 29.83%

Draw 24.26%

St Pauli	Draw	SC Paderborn
2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 45.91%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.26%	1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.81% Total : 29.83%