2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Mar 1, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
St Pauli1 - 0Hamburger SV
Kyereh (88')
Ziereis (11'), Marmoush (31'), Reginiussen (49'), Benatelli (56'), Kyereh (90+4'), Burgstaller (90+4')
Ziereis (11'), Marmoush (31'), Reginiussen (49'), Benatelli (56'), Kyereh (90+4'), Burgstaller (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Hamburger SV.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 51.83%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 25.78% | 22.39% | 51.83% |
| Both teams to score 61.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.52% | 38.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.22% | 60.78% |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% | 27.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.61% | 63.39% |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.99% | 15.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.52% | 43.48% |
| Score Analysis |
St Pauli 25.78%
Hamburger SV 51.83%
Draw 22.39%
| St Pauli | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 6.48% 1-0 @ 5.34% 2-0 @ 3.42% 3-1 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.69% Total : 25.78% | 1-1 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 4.17% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 9.61% 0-1 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 6.07% 0-3 @ 4.74% 2-3 @ 3.89% 1-4 @ 2.88% 0-4 @ 2.25% 2-4 @ 1.84% 1-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 4.04% Total : 51.83% |
How you voted: St Pauli vs Hamburger SV
St Pauli
27.3%Draw
45.5%Hamburger SV
27.3%11


