Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Mainz
Oct 8, 2022 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 45' goal
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 80'

Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg 2 - 1 Mainz
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Karim Onisiwo

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
RB Leipzig 4 - 0 VfL Bochum
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Christopher Nkunku

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result

Mainz 05 28.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 24.72% ▲ (+0.01)
RB Leipzig 46.86% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.59% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 47.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 30.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 69.36% ▲ (+0.02)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 69.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 30.37%
Over 1.5 33.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 66.56% ▲ (+0.01)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 79.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 20.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 47.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 52.46% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 28.41%
Draw 24.72%
RB Leipzig 46.86%
Mainz 05
1-0 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22%
3-0 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 28.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.68%
0-0 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.72%
RB Leipzig
0-1 @ 9.81% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.36% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.85% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 46.86%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 18
RB Leipzig
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Mainz
  • Andre Silva 21' goal
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 47' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 58' goal
  • Andre Silva 61' goal
  • yellowcard Lee Jae-sung 16'
  • redcard Alexander Hack 19'
  • goal Lee Jae-sung 57'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 59'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Mainz
Aug 15, 2021 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Moussa Niakhate 13' goal
  • Paul Nebel 48' yellowcard
  • Bo Svensson 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Kampl 7'
  • yellowcard Marcel Sabitzer 80'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Mainz
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Moussa Niakhate 24' goal
  • Moussa Niakhate 35' goal
  • Moussa Niakhate 40' yellowcard
  • Leandro Barreiro 50' goal
  • Danny da Costa 75' yellowcard
  • goal Tyler Adams 15'
  • yellowcard Marcel Halstenberg 23'
  • goal Marcel Halstenberg 30'
  • yellowcard Tyler Adams 70'
  • yellowcard Willi Orban 88'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sorloth 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
RB Leipzig
Sep 20, 2020 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Mainz
  • Emil Forsberg 17' goal
  • Yussuf Poulsen 21' goal
  • Amadou Haidara 51' goal
  • Yussuf Poulsen 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jean-Philippe Mateta 30'
  • goal Jean-Philippe Mateta 48'
  • yellowcard Danny Latza 58'
Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Mainz
May 24, 2020 2.30pm
0
5
HT : 0 3
FT Opel Arena
RB Leipzig
  • Pierre Kunde 20' yellowcard
  • Jeffrey Bruma 31' yellowcard
  • Jeremiah St Juste 79' yellowcard
  • goal Timo Werner 11'
  • yellowcard Marcel Sabitzer 13'
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 17'
  • goal Yussuf Poulsen 23'
  • yellowcard Timo Werner 35'
  • goal Marcel Sabitzer 36'
  • goal Timo Werner 48'
  • goal Timo Werner 75'
Bundesliga Gameweek 10
RB Leipzig
Nov 2, 2019 2.30pm
8
0
HT : 5 0
FT Red Bull Arena (Leipzig)
Mainz
  • Marcel Sabitzer 5' goal
  • Timo Werner 30' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 35' goal
  • Marcel Halstenberg 39' goal
  • Yussuf Poulsen 44' goal
  • Timo Werner 48' goal
  • Nordi Mukiele 50' goal
  • Timo Werner 87' goal
  • yellowcard Ronael Pierre-Gabriel 84'

Form Data

Freiburg 2 - 1 Mainz
Mainz 1 - 1 Hertha Berlin
Hoffenheim 4 - 1 Mainz
Borussia M'bach 0 - 1 Mainz
Mainz 0 - 3 B. Leverkusen
Augsburg 1 - 2 Mainz
RB Leipzig 3 - 1 Celtic
RB Leipzig 4 - 0 VfL Bochum
Borussia M'bach 3 - 0 RB Leipzig
Real Madrid 2 - 0 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 3 - 0 Dortmund
RB Leipzig 1 - 4 Shakhtar