Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 7

Sep 16, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz 05
1 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Caci (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tousart (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

Last Six:

Last Game: Hoffenheim 4-1 Mainz 05
Saturday, September 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Borussia Dortmund	6	1	12
6	Mainz 05	6	-3	10
7	FC Koln	6	3	9

Hertha Berlin

Last Six:

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Stuttgart	6	-1	5
15	Hertha Berlin	6	-2	5
16	Wolfsburg	6	-5	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Hertha Berlin
47.31% ( -0.07)	25.83% ( 0.02)	26.86% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 50.92% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.31% (

-0.07)

52.68% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.67% (

-0.06)

74.32% (

0.06)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.73% (

-0.07)

22.26% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.29% (

-0.09)

55.71% (

0.09)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.51%

34.49% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.79% (

71.2% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 47.3%

Hertha Berlin 26.86%

Draw 25.82%

Mainz 05	Draw	Hertha Berlin
1-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 47.3%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 26.86%