Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 6

Sep 10, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Rhein-Neckar-Arena

Hoffenheim
4 - 1
Mainz 05

Kramaric (53'), Promel (69'), Dabour (80'), Kaderabek (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kohr (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

Last Six:

Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Hoffenheim
Friday, September 2 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	FC Koln	5	4	9
7	Hoffenheim	5	2	9
8	Borussia Monchengladbach	5	2	8

Mainz 05

Last Six:

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-1 Mainz 05
Sunday, September 4 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Union Berlin	5	8	11
5	Mainz 05	5	0	10
6	FC Koln	5	4	9

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Mainz 05
51.33%	23.42%	25.24% ( 0)

Both teams to score 57.19% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.25% (

-0)

43.75% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.86% (

-0)

66.14% (

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.9% (

-0)

17.1% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.71% (

-0)

47.29% (

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.98% (

-0)

31.02% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.67% (

-0)

67.33% (

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 51.33%

Mainz 05 25.24%

Draw 23.42%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.27% 3-1 @ 5.7% 3-0 @ 4.87% 3-2 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 2.52% 4-0 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.96% Total : 51.33%	1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.42%	1-2 @ 6.42% 0-1 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 25.24%