Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Hoffenheim
Sep 10, 2022 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Mainz
  • Andrej Kramaric 53' goal
  • Grischa Promel 69' goal
  • Moanes Dabour 80' goal
  • Pavel Kaderabek 90'+2' goal
  • goal Dominik Kohr 83'

Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2022 7.30pm
Dortmund 1 - 0 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Andrej Kramaric

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Sep 4, 2022 4.30pm
Borussia M'bach 0 - 1 Mainz
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Karim Onisiwo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result

Hoffenheim 51.33%
Draw 23.42%
Mainz 05 25.24% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.19% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 43.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 33.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 66.14% ▲ (+0.01)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 82.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 17.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 52.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 47.29% ▲ (+0.01)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 68.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 31.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 32.67% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 67.33% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Hoffenheim 51.33%
Draw 23.42%
Mainz 05 25.24%
Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.68%
1-0 @ 9.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.27%
3-1 @ 5.7%
3-0 @ 4.87%
3-2 @ 3.34%
4-1 @ 2.52%
4-0 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 51.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.96%
2-2 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.42%
Mainz 05
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-1 @ 6.21%
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 25.24%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Mainz
Feb 5, 2022 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Hoffenheim
  • Lee Jae-sung 79' goal
  • Moussa Niakhate 83' goal
  • yellowcard Benjamin Hubner 17'
  • yellowcard Georginio Rutter 74'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Hoffenheim
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Mainz
  • Mijat Gacinovic 39' yellowcard
  • Kevin Vogt 70' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 21'
  • goal Marcus Ingvartsen 77'
  • yellowcard Alexander Hack 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Hoffenheim
Mar 21, 2021 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
Mainz
  • Ihlas Bebou 39' goal
  • goal Robert Glatzel 1'
  • goal Dominik Kohr 41'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Mainz
Nov 29, 2020 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Hoffenheim
  • Robin Quaison 33' goal
  • goal Ihlas Bebou 62'
  • redcard Dennis Geiger 80'
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Mainz
May 30, 2020 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Opel Arena
Hoffenheim
  • Bote Baku 14' yellowcard
  • Jeffrey Bruma 19' yellowcard
  • Jean-Paul Boetius 43' yellowcard
  • Leandro Barreiro 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Melayro Bogarde 12'
  • yellowcard Diadie Samassekou 18'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Rudy 31'
  • goal Ihlas Bebou 43'
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Hoffenheim
Nov 24, 2019 5.00pm
1
5
HT : 0 1
FT PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)
Mainz
  • Kevin Akpoguma 28' yellowcard
  • Andrej Kramaric 83' goal
  • yellowcard Karim Onisiwo 10'
  • goal Levin Oztunali 33'
  • redcard Bote Baku 45'
  • goal Pavel Kaderabek 52' (OG)
  • goal Pierre Kunde 62'
  • yellowcard Pierre Kunde 71'
  • yellowcard Jerry St Juste 81'
  • goal Jean-Paul Boetius 90'
  • goal Pierre Kunde 93'

Form Data

Dortmund 1 - 0 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 1 - 0 Augsburg
B. Leverkusen 0 - 3 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 3 - 2 VfL Bochum
Borussia M'bach 3 - 1 Hoffenheim
Rodinghausen 0 - 2 Hoffenheim
Borussia M'bach 0 - 1 Mainz
Mainz 0 - 3 B. Leverkusen
Augsburg 1 - 2 Mainz
Mainz 0 - 0 Union Berlin
VfL Bochum 1 - 2 Mainz
Erzgebirge Aue 0 - 3 Mainz