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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Borussia-Park
Mainz logo

Borussia M'bach
0 - 1
Mainz 05

FT(HT: 0-0)
Caricol (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 53.09%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawMainz 05
53.09% (1.226 1.23)22.46% (-0.351 -0.35)24.45% (-0.873 -0.87)
Both teams to score 59.63% (0.27 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.88% (0.789 0.79)40.12% (-0.786 -0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.51% (0.809 0.81)62.49% (-0.805 -0.81)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.84% (0.702 0.7)15.17% (-0.698 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.23% (1.305 1.31)43.77% (-1.303 -1.3)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29% (-0.265 -0.27)29.71% (0.268 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.23% (-0.325 -0.32)65.77% (0.327 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 53.09%
    Mainz 05 24.45%
    Draw 22.46%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.048 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.01% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.12% (0.175 0.18)
3-0 @ 5.04% (0.181 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.88% (0.15 0.15)
4-0 @ 2.38% (0.14 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.079 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.09% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 53.09%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.46%
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.243 -0.24)
0-2 @ 3.32% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 24.45%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Mainz 05

Borussia Monchengladbach
77.6%
Draw
15.8%
Mainz 05
6.6%
76
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 4.30pm
Nov 5, 2021 7.30pm
Mainz 05
1-1
Borussia M'bach
Widmer (76')
Jae-sung (31'), Bell (45'), Boetius (53')
Neuhaus (38')
Elvedi (22'), Kone (64'), Bensebaini (70')
Feb 20, 2021 2.30pm
Oct 24, 2020 2.30pm
Mainz 05
2-3
Borussia M'bach
Mateta (23', 36')
Kunde (49'), Jannis Kilian (61'), Niakhate (75'), Latza (77'), Zentner (83')
Stindl (15'), Hofmann (76' pen.), Ginter (83')
Embolo (53'), Neuhaus (62'), Thuram (84')
Jan 25, 2020 2.30pm
Borussia M'bach
3-1
Mainz 05
Plea (24', 76'), Neuhaus (87')
Rose (36'), Embolo (85')
Quaison (11')
Pierre-Gabriel (10'), Brosinski (80'), Baku (86')