Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.94%) and 0-2 (5.42%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.