Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arminia Bielefeld in this match.