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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Oct 15, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Hertha Berlin logo

RB Leipzig
3 - 2
Hertha Berlin

Forsberg (25'), Diallo (30'), Orban (45')
Haidara (38'), Kampl (63')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Lukebakio (62' pen.), Jovetic (64')
Kempf (32'), Plattenhardt (41'), Rogel (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Celtic 0-2 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-2 Freiburg
Sunday, October 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Hertha Berlin

 Hertha will be the fresher team having not played in midweek and they should make life difficult for Leipzig, especially having put together an impressive unbeaten run. However, there is little doubt that the hosts have much greater attacking firepower, and this should help them secure a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 13.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawHertha Berlin
68.7% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 18.01% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 13.29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.84% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.4% (0.033000000000001 0.03)37.59% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.17% (0.036000000000001 0.04)59.83% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.05% (0.013999999999996 0.01)9.94% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.1% (0.036000000000001 0.04)32.9% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.79%40.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.15% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)76.84% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 68.7%
    Hertha Berlin 13.29%
    Draw 18.01%
RB LeipzigDrawHertha Berlin
2-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 7.47% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 4.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 2.18% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.99% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.002 0)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 68.7%
1-1 @ 8.41% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.01%
1-2 @ 3.83% (-0.004 -0)
0-1 @ 3.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.66% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 13.29%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Hertha Berlin

RB Leipzig
81.0%
Draw
10.1%
Hertha Berlin
8.9%
79
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 6.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-6
RB Leipzig
Jovetic (48')
Richter (25'), Ascacibar (84')
Kempf (62')
Henrichs (20'), Nkunku (64' pen., 67'), Olmo (74'), Haidara (81'), Poulsen (88')
Gvardiol (34'), Tedesco (45'), Nkunku (64'), Haidara (84')
Sep 25, 2021 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
6-0
Hertha Berlin
Nkunku (16', 70'), Poulsen (23'), Mukiele (45+3'), Forsberg (60' pen.), Haidara (77')
Mukiele (62')

Darida (25'), Stark (59'), Plattenhardt (85')
Feb 21, 2021 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
0-3
RB Leipzig

Cunha (34')
Sabitzer (28'), Mukiele (71'), Orban (84')
Sabitzer (45')
Oct 24, 2020 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-1
Hertha Berlin
Upamecano (11'), Sabitzer (77' pen.)
Upamecano (48')
Cordoba (8')
Tousart (17'), Zeefuik (47'), Labbadia (90+1'), Ngankam (90+2')
Zeefuik (50')
> Preview
May 27, 2020 5.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-2
Hertha Berlin
Klostermann (24'), Schick (68')
Halstenberg (45+4')
Halstenberg (63')
Grujic (9'), Piatek (82' pen.)
Pekarik (42'), Torunarigha (57'), Cunha (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317
> Bundesliga Full Table


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