Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Oct 15, 2022 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Emil Forsberg 25' goal
  • Abdou Diallo 30' goal
  • Willi Orban 45' goal
  • goal Dodi Lukebakio 62'
  • goal Stevan Jovetic 64'

RB Leipzig vs Hertha Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2022 2.30pm
Mainz 1 - 1 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Christopher Nkunku

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Oct 9, 2022 4.30pm
Hertha Berlin 2 - 2 Freiburg
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dodi Lukebakio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 13.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result

RB Leipzig 68.7% (+0.03)
Draw 18.01% (-0.02)
Hertha Berlin 13.29% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.84% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.4% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 37.59% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 40.17% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 59.83% (-0.04)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 90.05% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 9.94% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 67.1% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 32.9% (-0.04)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 59.79%
Under 0.5 40.21%
Over 1.5 23.15% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 76.84% (+0.01)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 68.7%
Draw 18.01%
Hertha Berlin 13.29%
RB Leipzig
2-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.2% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.47% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.73% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.31% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.4% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.18% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.99% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.96% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.88%
Total : 68.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.41% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.01%
Hertha Berlin
1-2 @ 3.83% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.64% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.66% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 13.29%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Feb 20, 2022 6.30pm
1
6
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marco Richter 25' yellowcard
  • Stevan Jovetic 48' goal
  • Marc-Oliver Kempf 62' redcard
  • Santiago Ascacibar 84' yellowcard
  • goal Benjamin Henrichs 20'
  • yellowcard Josko Gvardiol 34'
  • yellowcard Domenico Tedesco 45'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 64'
  • yellowcard Christopher Nkunku 64'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 67'
  • goal Dani Olmo 74'
  • goal Amadou Haidara 81'
  • yellowcard Amadou Haidara 84'
  • goal Yussuf Poulsen 88'
Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Sep 25, 2021 2.30pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Christopher Nkunku 16' goal
  • Yussuf Poulsen 23' goal
  • Nordi Mukiele 45'+3' goal
  • Emil Forsberg 60' goal
  • Nordi Mukiele 62' yellowcard
  • Christopher Nkunku 70' goal
  • Amadou Haidara 77' goal
  • yellowcard Vladimir Darida 25'
  • yellowcard Niklas Stark 59'
  • yellowcard Marvin Plattenhardt 85'
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 21, 2021 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Matheus Cunha 34' yellowcard
  • goal Marcel Sabitzer 28'
  • yellowcard Marcel Sabitzer 45'
  • goal Nordi Mukiele 71'
  • goal Willi Orban 84'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Oct 24, 2020 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Dayot Upamecano 11' goal
  • Dayot Upamecano 48' yellowcard
  • Marcel Sabitzer 77' goal
  • goal Jhon Cordoba 8'
  • yellowcard Lucas Tousart 17'
  • yellowcard Deyovaisio Zeefuik 47'
  • redcard Deyovaisio Zeefuik 50'
  • yellowcard B. Labbadia 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jessic Ngankam 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 28
May 27, 2020 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Lukas Klostermann 24' goal
  • Marcel Halstenberg 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Marcel Halstenberg 63' redcard
  • Patrik Schick 68' goal
  • goal Marko Grujic 9'
  • yellowcard Peter Pekarik 42'
  • yellowcard Jordan Torunarigha 57'
  • goal Krzysztof Piatek 82'
  • yellowcard Matheus Cunha 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Nov 9, 2019 2.30pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT Olympiastadion Berlin (Berlin)
  • Maximilian Mittelstadt 23' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Mittelstadt 32' goal
  • Davie Selke 92' goal
  • Vladimir Darida 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Ilsanker 17'
  • goal Timo Werner 39'
  • goal Marcel Sabitzer 45'
  • goal Kevin Kampl 88'
  • goal Timo Werner 91'