Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 10

Oct 15, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
3 - 2
Hertha Berlin

Forsberg (25'), Diallo (30'), Orban (45')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Lukebakio (62' pen.), Jovetic (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Celtic 0-2 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hertha Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-2 Freiburg
Sunday, October 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 13.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Hertha Berlin
68.7% ( 0.03)	18.01% ( -0.01)	13.29% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.84% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.4% (

0.03)

37.59% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.17% (

0.04)

59.83% (

-0.03)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.05% (

0.01)

9.94% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.1% (

0.04)

32.9% (

-0.04)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.79%

40.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.15% (

-0)

76.84% (

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 68.7%

Hertha Berlin 13.29%

Draw 18.01%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Hertha Berlin
2-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.2% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.31% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.18% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.99% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 3.97% Total : 68.7%	1-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.01%	1-2 @ 3.83% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.66% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 13.29%