Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 9

Oct 9, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

Olympic Stadium

Hertha Berlin
2 - 2
Freiburg

Lukebakio (34' pen.), Serdar (61')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kyereh (22'), Schade (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 1-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, October 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 Nantes
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Hertha Berlin	Draw	Freiburg
27.47% ( 0.32)	24.63% ( -0.03)	47.9% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 55.19% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.68% (

0.34)

47.32% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.46% (

0.32)

69.54% (

-0.31)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.83% (

0.42)

31.17% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.49% (

0.49)

67.51% (

-0.49)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.18% (

0.01)

19.82% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.11% (

0.02)

51.89% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Hertha Berlin 27.47%

Freiburg 47.9%

Draw 24.63%

Hertha Berlin	Draw	Freiburg
1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.88% Total : 27.47%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.63%	0-1 @ 10% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 47.9%