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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Freiburg logo

Hoffenheim
0 - 0
Freiburg

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawFreiburg
46.01% (-0.43 -0.43)23.75% (0.13 0.13)30.24% (0.303 0.3)
Both teams to score 60.1% (-0.276 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.29% (-0.442 -0.44)41.71% (0.445 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.89% (-0.446 -0.45)64.11% (0.449 0.45)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63% (-0.346 -0.35)18.37% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.51% (-0.589 -0.59)49.49% (0.592 0.59)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)26.37% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.47% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)61.52% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 46.01%
    Freiburg 30.24%
    Draw 23.75%
HoffenheimDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 46.01%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.84% (0.097 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 7.29% (0.054 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.46% (0.124 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.079 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.033 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 30.24%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Freiburg

Hoffenheim
41.2%
Draw
22.1%
Freiburg
36.8%
68
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Hoffenheim
3-4
Freiburg
Kramaric (32'), Stiller (49'), Rudy (84')
Samassekou (45')
Sallai (23'), Gunter (50'), Holer (70'), Woo-yeong (73')
Jan 19, 2022 7.45pm
Hoffenheim
1-4
Freiburg
Schlotterbeck (53' og.)
Richards (32'), Geiger (79')
Grifo (10', 35'), Schade (55'), Demirovic (68')
Schade (27')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-2
Hoffenheim
Schlotterbeck (21')
Lienhart (16'), Kubler (87'), Holer (90+3'), Gunter (90+5')
Raum (3'), Richards (90+4')
Posch (38'), Akpoguma (61'), Vogt (80')
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 2, 2021 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
1-3
Freiburg
Bebou (58')
Akpoguma (16'), Vogt (82')
Santamaria (7'), Grifo (34' pen.), Adams (42' og.)
Chang-hoon (24'), Hofler (36')