Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2022 at 8pm UK
Europa Park Stadium
We said: Freiburg 1-0 Qarabag FK
Should Streich rotate his side, Freiburg could find this match tougher than many people may expect.
Qarabag have provided stubborn resistance to plenty of sides in Europe over the past decade, but we believe that the hosts will bag the three points with a narrow win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 55.45%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 22.57% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.
| Result |
| Freiburg | Draw | Qarabag FK |
55.45% ( -0.02) | 21.98% ( 0) | 22.57% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.95% ( 0) |
| 60.05% ( -0.01) | 39.95% ( 0.01) |
| 37.69% ( -0.01) | 62.31% ( 0.01) |
| 85.66% ( -0.01) | 14.33% ( 0.01) |
