Champions League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 23, 2022 at 8pm UK
Doosan Aréna
Qarabag

Plzen
2 - 1
Qarabag FK

Kopic (58'), Kliment (73')
Pernica (38'), Sykora (40'), Jemelka (43'), Tijani (73'), Kopic (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ozobic (38')
Gugeshashvili (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Viktoria Plzen and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Qarabag FK 0-0 Plzen
Wednesday, August 17 at 5.45pm in Champions League
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Last Game: Qarabag FK 0-0 Plzen
Wednesday, August 17 at 5.45pm in Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.54%) and 1-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Viktoria Plzen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Viktoria Plzen.

Result
Viktoria PlzenDrawQarabag FK
51.33% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)21.56% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)27.1% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 65.72% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.68% (0.019999999999996 0.02)33.31% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.91% (0.024000000000001 0.02)55.08% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Viktoria Plzen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.65%13.35% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (0.021999999999991 0.02)24.15% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (0.033000000000001 0.03)58.47% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Viktoria Plzen 51.33%
    Qarabag FK 27.1%
    Draw 21.57%
Viktoria PlzenDrawQarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.54% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.49% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 4.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 4.39% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 1.26%
4-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 51.33%
1-1 @ 9.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.22% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 2.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 21.57%
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 4.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 27.1%

How you voted: Plzen vs Qarabag FK

Viktoria Plzen
57.4%
Draw
21.9%
Qarabag FK
20.7%
169
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2022 5.45pm