Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Sheriff Tiraspol win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Viktoria Plzen in this match.