Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Sheriff Tiraspol win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Viktoria Plzen in this match.

Result
Sheriff Tiraspol	Draw	Viktoria Plzen
36.47% ( 0.02)	25.02% ( -0.01)	38.51% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.65% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.22% (

0.05)

45.78% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.9% (

0.05)

68.1% (

-0.05)

Sheriff Tiraspol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.38% (

0.03)

24.61% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.88% (

0.04)

59.12% (

-0.04)

Viktoria Plzen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.48% (

0.02)

23.52% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.43% (

0.03)

57.56% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Sheriff Tiraspol 36.47%

Viktoria Plzen 38.51%

Draw 25.02%

Sheriff Tiraspol	Draw	Viktoria Plzen
2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 36.47%	1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 25.02%	1-2 @ 8.5% 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.06% 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.51%